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San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat - 6/15/14

Miami Heat (54-28) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, June 15, 2014 at 8:00 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -6 -- Over/Under: 195.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The San Antonio Spurs can clinch the NBA championship with a win over the Miami Heat in Game 5 on Sunday night.

Head to head, the Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games, 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games. The Heat on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games.

I see Game 5 going one of two ways - Either it's going to be close throughout (like Games 1 & 2) or it's going to be a blowout in favor of the San Antonio Spurs. If I had to choose, I would definitely lean towards the latter, after what we just saw in the last two games. If you missed it, then you missed the Spurs putting on an absolute clinic in games 3 & 4, winning by 19 and 21 points, repectively. While many, including myself, thought the Miami Heat were going to be a tough out at home given they had won their first eight playoff games there, that wasn't the case at all as they were helpless to stop San Antonio and there flawless offense. The Spurs shot 57 percent from the field in their Game 4 blowout and are shooting 54 percent for the entire series.

San Antonio, who joined the 1977 Trail Blazers as the only teams to winback-to-back games by 19 or more in the NBA Finals, have won 11 games by 15 or more during the 2014 playoffs, the most by any NBA team in a single postseason. SA is also red hot when it comes to covering the number at home as they are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine at the AT&T Center.

While no team has even come back from a 3-1 deficit in a NBA finals series, the last thing the Spurs want to do is let the Heat back in this series and potentially head back to Miami for Game 6. Having said that, the Heat clearly looked tired during these last couple of games and they haven't shown anyone that they are capable of stoping San Antonio on the offensive end. If the home team gets an early lead, then watchout, this could be blowout city. I am 4-0 ATS in this series so far and I intend to stay perfect with this pick....

Dan’s Pick: San Antonio -6

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat - 6/15/14

USA TODAY Sports

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