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Spurs at Rockets - 11/6/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Antonio Spurs (2-1) at Houston Rockets (5-0)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, November 6, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -3 -- Over/Under: 201.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The San Antonio Spurs and Houston Rockets play Thursday night at the Toyota Center.

With last night’s win over the Atlanta Hawks, the San Antonio Spurs improve to 2-1 on the season. The Spurs are getting the job done on the defensive end, holding the Hawks to just 41.3 percent shooting from the field. Overall, the Spurs are allowing 97 points on 44.2 percent shooting and they’ve won 13 of their last 14 regular season games when allowing less than 100 points. Offensively, Tim Duncan has 33 points and 22 rebounds in his last two games, while Tony Parker has 36 points in his last two games. The one player the Spurs need to have step up is Manu Ginobili, who is a combined 8-25 in his three games this season. While nobody is doubting the San Antonio Spurs this early in the season, this matchup will be a big test to see exactly where they’re at right now.

Spurs at Rockets - 11/6/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets have gotten off to a fast 5-0 start and will play just their second home game of the season. What’s been the most impressive part of the Rockets run has been their defense that’s allowing just 91.4 points on 41.1 percent shooting from the field. The Rockets have allowed no more than 93 points this season and have won 15 straight games when holding a team under 100 points. Offensively, James Harden is averaging 27.2 points per game and 7.4 assists, while Trevor Ariza is chipping in 17.6 points on 60 percent shooting from downtown. Dwight Howard has racked up 37 points and 24 rebounds in his last two games, and he’s averaging a double double on the season. The Rockets are going to be a tough team to beat as long as they can continue their balance of great offense and defense.

The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference and 39-18-3 ATS in their last 60 Thursday games. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Houston and 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall.

While I am concerned about the Spurs playing on back-to-back nights against a rested Houston team, we’re getting them with free points. How often do we get San Antonio as an underdog? The answer is not too often. The value with San Antonio is too good to pass up.

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San Antonio Spurs +3

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