San Antonio Spurs vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 11/8/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans (2-2) at San Antonio Spurs (2-2)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, November 8, 2014 at 8:30 pm (AT&T Center)
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -7 -- Over/Under: 197 See the Latest Odds
The San Antonio Spurs look to stay undefeated at home as they welcome the New Orleans Pelicans to town tonight.
The New Orleans Pelicans were able to snap a two-game skid on Tuesday by beating the Hornets by 100-91 at home. Six players finished in double figures in scoring and once again it was Anthony Davis leading the way with 24 points, 13 rebounds and three blocks. Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday and Ryan Anderson all contributed 16 points each as the Pelicans improved to 2-2 on the season and 2-1 at home. The Pelicans' record probably suggests a mediocre effort, but Holiday is still working his way back into full health and newcomer Omer Asik is just finding his feet, so given their adjustment issues, I actually think they've done quite well so far.
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Meanwhile, it has only been four games, but the San Antonio Spurs haven't quite been the model of consistency that we saw last season. After winning a nail-biter on opening night, the Spurs have lost two of three and are coming off a 98-81 beatdown at Houston. Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili were both rested for this game and it really hurt the Spurs' depth because they were already without Patty Mills, Tiago Splitter and Marco Belinelli. Without a true center, the Spurs had no one to match up with Dwight Howard so you can figure out what happened there. It is kind of unfair to judge the Spurs too harshly because they were so shorthanded, but it was an ugly performance from start to finish.
In ATS trends, the Pelicans are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a win and 5-11-3 ATS in their last 19 road games, while the Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and 0-4 ATS in their four games this season.
Head to head, the Home team is 24-9 ATS in the last 33 meetings and the Pelicans are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio.
Given all the stats and trends, the immediate thought is to take the Spurs to win and cover at home, but the Spurs are a little banged up and have yet to cover a spread this season so I'm taking the Pelicans with not much confidence.