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Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat - 11/9/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (4-2) at Dallas Mavericks (4-2)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, November 9, 2014 at 7:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -6 -- Over/Under: 205 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSW, SUN

The Dallas Mavericks host the Miami Heat in an interconference battle of 4-2 teams.

The Miami Heat played last night at home defeating the Timberwolves 102-92 in a game that the Heat dominated early and had to sweat a bit towards the end.  The departure of LeBron James hasn’t had as dramatic of an effect as the public anticipated as Chris Bosh has seamlessly transitioned into the dominant role he played so well as the franchise player of the Raptors for seven years.  Dwyane Wade has played regular minutes in both back-to-back instances this season, and his production has really been stellar all year while making more than 50% of his shots and filling up the stat sheet with assists, rebounds and steals.  Luol Deng is effectively LeBron’s replacement this season and he’s filling in admirably while averaging over 13 points per game while also providing strong defense with at least one steal in each of the last five games.  With Norris Cole running the point with the starting five and Mario Chalmers fighting to regain the starter’s role, Miami should be able to generate consistent offense this year;  the defense could be a point of struggle though in back-to-back situations against Western Conference teams with potent offenses.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat - 11/9/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks are loaded with talent this year as owner Mark Cuban is once again pressing for a second championship before the Dirk Nowitzski era ends in Dallas.  Nowitzski is hitting 53% from the field to start the year and an ultra-impressive 46.4% from behind the arc to pace an offense ranking 2nd in the league with 106.5 points per game.  Monta Ellis is a strong second option scoring the ball with a strong array of moves to get to the rim and the addition of Chandler Parsons helps the transition and outside shooting games, even if the former Rocket has gone cold in the last two contests.  The Mavericks also have a strong veteran bench presence, so they really shouldn’t go through many scoring droughts this season.  The team’s defensive success will likely hinge heavily on how effective Tyson Chandler can be protecting the rim after missing time in each of the last three seasons with injuries.

The Heat will surely be a team to play as an underdog on normal rest but with the back-to-back scenario here I’m speculating that it’s only a matter of time before Dwyane Wade either faces limited minutes or sits out completely as we witnessed so many times last season.   I don’t see Miami having the legs on defense to have answers for all of the Mavericks scoring options which makes this a bad spot for the visitors.

 

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Dallas Mavericks -6 (1 unit)

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