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Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings - 11/11/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sacramento Kings (5-2) at Dallas Mavericks (4-3)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, November 11, 2014 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -7 -- Over/Under: 205 See the Latest Odds


The surprising Sacramento Kings invade the American Airlines Center tonight to battle the Dallas Mavericks.

With a new pass-first point guard in Darren Collison and a more mature DeMarcus Cousins, the Sacramento Kings have really begun to raise some eyebrows at this early stage of the season, winning five of their first seven games. Unfortunately, the Kings just had their five-game win streak snapped on Sunday by the shorthanded Thunder when they lost by 101-93. Rudy Gay continued his hot form with 23 points while DeMarcus Cousins and Darren Collison added 16 points each, but the Kings were sluggish out of the gates and found themselves playing catchup for the entire game after falling behind by as many as 17 points in the third quarter. Still, not even the most loyal of Kings fans had this team at 5-2 after seven games so this is still a fantastic start to a promising season.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings - 11/11/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Speaking of promising seasons, the Dallas Mavericks look all set to become true contenders in the playoffs this season, but first they will have to find a way back into the winner's circle after getting beaten by the Heat 105-96 on Sunday. Monta Ellis had a nice game of 23 points while Dirk Nowitzki added 17, but the Mavs simply couldn't contain the Heat who shot over 55 percent from the field, led by Luol Deng who poured in 30 points. In fact, so far this season the Mavs have allowed an average of 102.1 points per game which ranks them at 23rd in the season, but they do rank 4th in the league in offense with 105 points per game. With the loss, Dallas falls to 4-3 on the season and 2-1 at home.

In ATS trends, the Kings are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Mavs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record and 45-14 ATS in their last 59 games following a loss.

Head to head, the Kings are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings but just 7-18-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Dallas.

Believer it or not, the Mavs have actually won the last 20 meetings against the Kings in Dallas which is a record I don't want to mess with. However, the Kings have been playing so far above expectations to start the season and I actually think they'll be good enough to keep this game close, so I'm taking them with the points here.

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Sacramento +7

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