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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves - 11/15/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves (2-6) at Dallas Mavericks (6-3)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, November 15, 2014 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -11 -- Over/Under: 208.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN, FSSW

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks play Saturday night at the American Airlines Center.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost four straight since star point guard Ricky Rubio went down with an ankle injury. While usually a good offensive team, the Timberwolves have scored less than 100 points in three of their last five games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 99.6 points on 43.8 percent shooting and have lost eight of their last 10 games when scoring under 100 points. Kevin Martin has led the charge with 20-plus points in three of his last six games and rookie Andrew Wiggins is 13-26 from the field in his last two games. Thaddeus Young isn’t expected to play in this game. Defensively, the Timberwolves are allowing 102.9 points on 48.1 percent shooting. The Timberwolves season started off better than expected but injuries have changed things quickly.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves - 11/15/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks have won three of their last four games and are 4-1 SU at home. The Mavericks are the best offensive team in the league with an average of 107.1 points on 48.2 percent shooting. The Dallas Mavericks have won nine of their last 12 regular season games when scoring 100 or more points. Dirk Nowitzki leads the charge with 20.9 points on 55.1 percent shooting and Monta Ellis is averaging 17.1 points and 4.6 assists. Chandler Parsons is shooting 33.3 percent from downtown and Tyson Chandler has four straight double-digit rebounding performances. Defensively, the Mavs are allowing 98.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting. The Mavericks have to improve defensively if they’re going to seriously compete come playoff time in the West.

The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. The Mavericks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Timberwolves are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Dallas and 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings overall. 

The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams. With the way both struggle defensively, you have to back that trend here. Expect a ton of points to be scored. 

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Over 208.5

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