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Heat vs. Bucks - 11/16/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks (4-5) at Miami Heat (5-4)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, November 16, 2014 at 6:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FSWI, SUN

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat play Sunday afternoon at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Milwaukee Bucks have won two of their last three games and are playing better than many expected. The Bucks are playing above average defense out of the gate, as they’re holding teams to 93.6 points on 41.9 percent shooting. The Milwaukee Bucks are 4-2 SU this season when holding their opponent under 100 points. Offensively is where the Bucks have had issues, as they’re averaging just 91.9 points on 43.4 percent shooting from the field. It’s hard to win games when you’re scoring 85 points in each of your last two games. Brandon Knight leads Milwaukee with 18.1 points and 6.7 assists, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 11.8 points off the bench. The Bucks are a team to keep an eye on if they can keep playing at this level.

Heat vs. Bucks - 11/16/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat have lost four of their last six games and are still trying to figure things out post LeBron James. Overall, the Heat are averaging 99.2 points on 47.4 percent shooting and are allowing 97.8 points on 46 percent shooting. The Miami Heat have lost eight of their last nine regular season games when allowing 100-plus points. Dwyane Wade is expected to miss his second straight game with a hamstring injury. Chris Bosh leads Miami with 21.6 points and 9.1 rebounds, while Luol Deng is averaging close to 15 points on 50.5 percent shooting from the field. Josh McRoberts, who was signed to be a key contributor, has played no more than 23 minutes this season and Shawne Williams is 9-11 from downtown in his last two games.

The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Central and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

I don't love the way the Miami Heat have been playing the last week, but they easily have more talent than the Bucks and should win fairly easily here if they actually play to their potential. 

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Miami Heat -5

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