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Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks - 11/28/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (11-5) at Toronto Raptors (13-2)

NBA Basketball: Friday, November 28, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors -3.5 -- Over/Under: 210 See the Latest Odds


Two of the best teams in the NBA collide on Friday night as the Toronto Raptors host the Dallas Mavericks for an interconference game.

The Dallas Mavericks sit at 11-5 on the year after snapping a two game losing streak last time out, beating the Knicks 109-102 on Wednesday night.  The Mavericks are 4-3 on the road this year with the wins coming against the lesser teams and the losses coming against respectable foes in the Spurs, Blazers and Rockets.  The Mavericks can get the job done on the offensive end ranking first in the league while averaging 109.3 points per game, but the defense has been pretty average with a unit that concedes nearly 100 points per game.  Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 19.7 points and 5.6 rebounds per game and is coming off a 30 point effort last time out, but the three ball hasn’t been falling for the veteran of late going 3 for 20 over his last three games.  Also struggling with the long ball has been Monta Ellis, who is just 2 for 14 over the last three games which makes it pretty easy to say why two of those games were losses and the lone win required OT.  Down low Tyson Chandler has been hitting the glass hard with 11.3 rebounds per game.  The Mavericks really need Chandler Parsons to become the player he was last year with the Rockets to round out this lineup that’s currently in development.

Toronto Raptors vs. Dallas Mavericks - 11/28/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Toronto Raptors are tied with Memphis for the best record in the NBA at 13-2 and really somehow continue to fly under the radar a bit despite launching a playoff campaign last season.  The Raptors are riding a six game win streak entering this contest and have shown strength on both sides of the ball with an offense that trails only the Mavericks with 108 points per game and a defense that concedes just 96.4 points per game.  SG DeMar DeRozan leads the team in scoring with 20.7 points per game and backcourt-mate Kyle Lowry is second with 18.1 points and 6.6 assists per game.  Lithuanian center Jonas Valanciunas leads the team in rebounding with eight per game but PF Amir Johnson hasn’t been as productive as the team would like both scoring and rebounding due to an ankle ailment, despite contributing with blocked shots.  The Raptors have a great sixth man in Lou Williams who is third on the team in scoring with 14.2 point per game while averaging just 20.3 minutes for the season.  The Raptors are 9-1 at home on the year with the one loss coming against the Bulls in a game where Derrick Rose played 30 minutes before exiting with an injury.

The line has yet to be released for this game but you know the Raptors will be favored; it’s just a matter of by how much.  My projection is Raptors -5.5, so anything below that I’ll be siding with the home team, anything above I’ll be taking the underdog.  The variance from that number will determine my unit rating.  Please check back for confirmation on my pick and unit rating when the line is released.

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Toronto Raptors -3.5 (1 unit)

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