Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 12/27/14 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves (5-22) at Golden State Warriors (23-5)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, December 27, 2014 at 10:30 pm (Oracle Arena)
The Line: Golden State Warriors -17 -- Over/Under: 216 See the Latest Odds
The Golden State Warriors look to make light work of the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.
The Golden State Warriors were the benchmark of the league for most of the season but are suddenly heading back home with their tails between their legs after consecutive double digit losses to both Los Angeles teams. After getting embarassed by the lowly Lakers who were without Kobe Bryant, the Warriors got blown out by 100-86 against the Clippers on Christmas Day. In one of the ugliest games of the season, the Warriors held the Clippers to 4 for 24 in the first quarter but still couldn't find the win as Klay Thompson scored just 15 while Stephen Curry had just 14. The Warriors just couldn't get their offense going in the fourth quarter, scoring just 16 points as a team while allowing 27 to the Clippers, including 12 to Jamal Crawford who got hot late in the game. With the loss, Golden State drops to 23-5 overall and 13-4 on the road.
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Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have the exact opposite season record (5-23) and are coming into this one fresh off a seventh straight loss after falling to the Nuggets by 106-102 last night. Thaddeus Young led the scoring with 23 points while Andrew Wiggins was right behind him with 22 points, but the rest of the team struggled mightily, especially from the three-point line where they made just 3 of 15. However, the biggest difference between the teams was actually in rebounding where the Nuggets dominated 62-44 thanks to 25 rebounds from Kenneth Faried, so it's almost amazing that the Wolves were an inch from forcing overtime after Chase Budinger stepped out of bounds before sinking a potential game-tying three.
In ATS trends, the Wolves are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, while the Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against a team with a losing record.
Head to head, the Wolves are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Golden State.
The bookies have released the Warriors at a ridiculous (but reasonable) 17-point favorite against the Wolves in this one and you have to admit that this just looks like the perfect storm for a Warriors rout. Personally, I can't feel good about laying this much chalk in any NBA game, so I'll be staying away completely. However, if you had to make me choose, I'd probably lean with the Wolves and hope for a backdoor cover in this one.