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Rockets vs. Heat - 1/3/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (14-19) at Houston Rockets (22-10)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, January 3, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -7.5 -- Over/Under: 196 See the Latest Odds

TV: SUN, CSN Houston

The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets play Saturday night at the Toyota Center.

The Miami Heat have lost four of their last five games and begin a tough road trip. On the season, the Heat are averaging 94.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting and are allowing 98.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Dwyane Wade is averaging 23.2 points and 5.6 assists while Chris Bosh is averaging 21.4 points and 8.2 rebounds. Luol Deng is shooting 50.4 percent from the field and Mario Chalmers is dishing out 4.3 assists. The Miami Heat continue to fall apart late in games and it starts on the defensive end where they’re allowing teams to shoot 37.5 percent from downtown in their last five games. The Heat are struggling mightily with consistency but the good news is that eight of their 14 wins this season have come on the road. Justin Hamilton is doubtful with a concussion.

Rockets vs. Heat - 1/3/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets have lost five of their last eight games and are coming off a Friday loss to New Orleans. On the season, the Rockets are averaging 101 points on 43 percent shooting and are allowing 97 points on 43.2 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 27.7 points and 6.9 assists while Dwight Howard is averaging 18.1 points and 11.6 rebounds. Trevor Ariza is shooting 36.1 percent from the field and Patrick Beverley is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are coming off a Friday loss in which they shot just 20.7 percent from beyond the arc. Of course, the Rockets rely heavily on the three-ball to win games, as they’re averaging more than 34 deep shots per game. It’ll be interesting to see how Houston bounces back in this game. Alexey Shved is doubtful with an ankle injury.

The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Houston and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall.

I hate the line with the way both teams are currently playing, which is why I'm siding with the over. Neither team is playing defense all that well and this is a game that has a triple-digit feel to it. Take the over. 

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Over 196

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