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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets - NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Nuggets (19-27) at Memphis Grizzlies (33-12)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, January 29, 2015 at 8:00 pm (FedExForum)

The Line: Grizzlies -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ALT, TSOH, TNT

The Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies play Thursday night at the FedExForum.

The Denver Nuggets have lost seven of their last eight games and are quickly dropping in the standings. On the season, the Nuggets are averaging 101.8 points on 43.7 percent shooting and are allowing 104.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Ty Lawson is averaging 17.1 points and 10 assists while Arron Afflalo is averaging 15.2 points and 3.6 rebounds. Wilson Chandler is shooting 41.2 percent from the field and Kenneth Faried is grabbing nine rebounds. The Denver Nuggets lack of defense continues to kill them, as they’re allowing 50 percent shooting from the field and 40.7 percent shooting from deep in their last five games. The Nuggets have allowed 100-plus points in six of their last seven games.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets -  NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Grizzlies have won eight of their last nine games and are making their case as one of the best in the West. On the season, the Grizzlies are averaging 101.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting and are allowing 97.1 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Marc Gasol is averaging 18.9 points and 8.2 rebounds while Zach Randolph is averaging 17.1 points and 11.9 rebounds. Jeff Green is shooting 42.5 percent from the field and Courtney Lee is dishing 2.2 assists. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 42 percent shooting from the field and 30.4 percent shooting from deep in their last five games. The Grizzlies have allowed 94 or less points in four straight games. Tony Allen and Mike Conley are both questionable for this game with injuries.

The Nuggets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. The Grizzlies are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. 

Can't lay double-digit chalk in this spot. Instead, I'm taking the over considering the way the Nuggets don't play defense. Look for a lot of points to be scored here.

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Over 199

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