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Mavericks at Nuggets - 4/10/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (47-31) at Denver Nuggets (29-49)

NBA Basketball: Friday, April 10, 2015 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)

The Line: Denver Nuggets -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSW, ALT

The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets square off late Friday night at the Pepsi Center.

The Dallas Mavericks look for a win after losing four of their last six games. On the season, the Mavericks are averaging 104.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and are allowing 101.7 points on 45 percent shooting. Monta Ellis is averaging 19.2 points and 4.1 assists while Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 17.2 points and 5.9 rebounds. Amar'e Stoudemire is grabbing 3.6 rebounds and Rajon Rondo is dishing 6.5 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 48.3 percent from the field in their last five games and have won seven of their last 10 games when topping 100 points. The Mavs are locked into the seventh seed and may start resting players. Chandler Parsons is doubtful with a knee injury.

Mavericks at Nuggets - 4/10/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets look for a win after losing five of their last seven games. On the season, the Nuggets are averaging 100.3 points on 43.1 percent shooting and are allowing 104 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Ty Lawson is averaging 15.4 points and 9.5 assists while Wilson Chandler is averaging 13.4 points and six rebounds. Kenneth Faried is grabbing 8.8 rebounds and Danilo Gallinari is dishing 1.3 assists. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 50.4 percent shooting in their last five games and have lost five of their last seven when allowing 100-plus points. Six of the Nuggets last nine victories have come on their home court. Jameer Nelson is questionable with a hip injury.

The Mavericks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and 10-28-2 ATS in their last 40 vs. Western Conference. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 Friday games. The Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver and 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall. 

Even with the Mavs likely resting guys, they're still better than the Nuggets. I'd leave this game alone, but if forced to pick, I'm still taking Dallas and the points. 

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Dallas Mavericks +3.5

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