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Mavericks at Rockets - 4/18/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Dallas Mavericks (50-32) at Houston Rockets (56-26)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, April 18, 2015 at 9:30 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets play Saturday night in game one of the playoffs.

The Dallas Mavericks ended the season winning five of their last eight games. On the season, the Mavericks are averaging 105.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and are allowing 102.3 points on 45 percent shooting. Monta Ellis is averaging 18.9 points and 4.1 assists while Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 17.3 points and 5.9 rebounds. Tyson Chandler is grabbing 11.5 rebounds and Rajon Rondo is dishing 6.5 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 48.5 percent from the field and 38.1 percent from deep in their last five games. The Mavericks have won 10 of their last 13 games when topping 100 points. The Mavs have lost six of their last 10 road games. Chandler Parsons is questionable with a knee injury.

Mavericks at Rockets - 4/18/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets ended the season winning six of their last eight games. On the season, the Rockets are averaging 103.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting and are allowing 100.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. James Harden is averaging 27.4 points and seven assists while Dwight Howard is averaging 15.8 points and 10.5 rebounds. Trevor Ariza is grabbing 5.6 rebounds and Josh Smith is dishing 2.6 assists. The Houston Rockets are shooting 48.2 percent from the field and 36.8 percent from deep in their last five games. The Rockets have won nine of their last 10 when allowing less than 100 points. The Rockets have won seven of their last nine games on their home court.

The Mavericks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 Conference Quarterfinals games and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games. The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Houston and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings overall. 

The Rockets are my sleeper to win the West, as I like how this team can hurt you inside and outside with a healthy Dwight. The Mavs have been brutal against the top West teams and I expect that to continue. 

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Houston Rockets -6

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