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Warriors at Grizzlies - 5/11/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (72-17) at Memphis Grizzlies (61-29)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 11, 2015 at 9:30 pm (FedExForum)

The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +5 -- Over/Under: 196 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies play game four of their playoff series Monday night.

The Golden State Warriors need this win to regain home court advantage. Stephen Curry is averaging 28.4 points and 6.9 assists while Klay Thompson is averaging 21.6 points and four rebounds. Draymond Green is grabbing 10.6 rebounds and Harrison Barnes is dishing 1.9 assists. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 45 percent from the field and 35.3 percent from deep in the playoffs. The Warriors are really struggling with the Grizzlies defense, as guys can’t get space to get their usual shots and are turning the ball over left and right. Nine of the Warriors last 10 losses have come on the road. Marreese Speights is doubtful with a calf injury.

Warriors at Grizzlies - 5/11/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Grizzlies look for a win to pretty much put this series to bed. Marc Gasol is averaging 19.9 points and 9.5 rebounds while Zach Randolph is averaging 16.5 points and 8.3 rebounds. Mike Conley is dishing 3.8 assists and Courtney Lee is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 44.2 percent from the field and 34.3 percent from deep in the playoffs. The Grizzlies are playing elite level defense and have won eight of their last 10 games when allowing less than 100 points. The Grizzlies have won six straight home games.

The Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Warriors are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Grizzlies still aren't getting any respect. We've seen Klay and Curry struggle last year in the playoffs with a physical Clippers team. This isn't a fluke. Curry and company crumble when playing teams that deny them space to get open looks. I'm taking the Grizzlies and the points once again. 

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Memphis Grizzlies +5

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