Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty - 9/18/15 Conference Semifinals Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New York Liberty (0-0) vs. Washington Mystics (0-0)
WNBA Basketball: Friday September 18, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Madison Square Garden)
The Line: New York Liberty -8 -- Over/Under: 140 See the Latest Odds
TV: NBATV, MSG
The Washington Mystics and New York Liberty play game of their playoff series on Friday night at Madison Square Garden.
The Washington Mystics ended the regular season losing seven of their last 10 games. The Washington Mystics are averaging 73.6 points on 42.2 percent shooting and are allowing 71.2 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Ivory Latta is averaging 13.4 points and 2.6 assists while Emma Meesseman is averaging 11.6 points and 6.3 rebounds. Stefanie Dolson is the third double-digit scorer and Tierra Ruffin-Pratt is grabbing three rebounds. The Washington Mystics have scored 71 or less points in six of their last nine games and have lost eight of their last 10 when scoring under 75 points. The Mystics are 7-10 SU on the road and have lost five of their last six. Kara Lawson is questionable with a back injury.
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The New York Liberty ended the regular season splitting their last six games. The New York Liberty are averaging 74.4 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are allowing 71.1 points on 39.3 percent shooting. Tina Charles is averaging 17.1 points and 8.5 rebounds while Epiphanny Prince is averaging 15 points and 3.4 assists. Sugar Rodgers is grabbing 2.2 rebounds and Tanisha Wright is dishing 3.5 assists. The New York Liberty have allowed 80-plus points in three of their last five games and have lost seven straight games when that’s the case. The Liberty have allowed 163 points in their last two games. The Liberty are 12-5 SU on their home court and have won five of their last eight.
The Mystics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games. The Liberty are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
The Liberty are really tough to beat at MSG and have an elite defense that gives up nothing easy. However, the Mystics have beaten the Liberty in four of the last six meetings and will no longer be on cruise control with the playoffs underway. Simply put: this is far too many points to pass up.
I like Washington to keep it close in a defensive battle.