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Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 9/24/15 West Finals Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Lynx (2-1) vs. Phoenix Mercury (2-0)

WNBA Basketball: Thursday September 24, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Minnesota Lynx -5.5 -- Over/Under: 144.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx play Thursday night in game one of the Western Conference Finals.

The Phoenix Mercury look to steal game one after winning five of their last six games. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 75.9 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 71.7 points on 38.9 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 20.5 points and 10 rebounds while DeWanna Bonner is averaging 17.5 points and 8.5 rebounds. Candice Dupree is the third double-digit scorer and Leilani Mitchell is dishing 4.5 assists. The Phoenix Mercury swept the Tulsa Shock and haven’t played in five days. The Mercury have topped 80 points in four of their last five games. The Mercury are 8-10 SU on the road and have split their last six.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 9/24/15 West Finals Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Lynx look for a victory after splitting their last 10 games. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 75.5 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 72 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 26.7 points and 6.3 rebounds while Seimone Augustus is averaging 15.7 points and 4.7 rebounds. Sylvia Fowles is grabbing 7.3 rebounds and Lindsay Whalen is dishing 2.7 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are coming off a three-game series against the Los Angeles Sparks and just played Tuesday. The Lynx have scored 73 or less points in five of their last six games. The Lynx are 15-4 SU on their home court and have won five of their last six.

The Mercury are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Lynx are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Finals games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mercury are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota.

The Mercury have beaten the Lynx in six of their last nine meetings, and Phoenix has had far more rest than Minnesota. This series has always been compeitive and you expect nothing different with a trip to the finals on the line. I'll take the points due to history and rest advantage on the Mercury's side.

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Phoenix Mercury +5.5

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