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Heat at Timberwolves - 11/5/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (2-2) at Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, November 5, 2015 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +3 -- Over/Under: 201 See the Latest Odds

TV: SUN, FSN+

The Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Thursday night at the Target Center.

The Miami Heat look for a big road win to get a game above a .500 record. The Miami Heat are averaging 99.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 95.8 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Dwyane Wade is averaging 21.5 points and 4.8 assists while Hassan Whiteside is averaging 15.8 points and 11 rebounds. Chris Bosh is grabbing 9.3 rebounds and Goran Dragic is dishing five assists. The Miami Heat are getting just 26.3 points from their bench, which is eight points below league average. The Heat are a team that’s still trying to figure out their rotation with so many moving parts, which is why there’s been an inconsistent start to the season.

Heat at Timberwolves - 11/5/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves look for their first home win after a 2-1 start to the year. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 102.7 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 98.3 points on 37.9 percent shooting. Kevin Martin is averaging 20.3 points and two rebounds while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 17.7 points and 10.3 rebounds. Ricky Rubio is dishing 10.3 assists and Nemanja Bjelica is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting just 22.7 percent from three and getting 54 points from their starts, 12 points below league average. We still don’t know what to make of the Timberwolves, as they have a bad loss to the Trail Blazers and two wins over the lowly Nuggets and Lakers.

The Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall. 

The Heat have rotation issues but still have far more talent and experience than the Timberwolves. Minnesota is coming off a bad loss and hasn't beaten anybody. The Heat are easily the best team the T-Wolves have faced yet. I expect Miami to win and cover the tiny number here. 

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Miami Heat -3

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