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Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 12/28/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Bucks (12-19) at Dallas Mavericks (17-13)

NBA Basketball: Monday, December 28, 2015 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -8 -- Over/Under: 200 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSWI, FSSW

The Milwaukee Bucks and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday night at the American Airlines Center.

The Milwaukee Bucks could use a strong win after losing six of their last nine games. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 96.4 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Greg Monroe is averaging 15.8 points and 9.6 rebounds while Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 15.4 points and 6.5 rebounds. Michael Carter-Williams is dishing 5.4 assists and Khris Middleton is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Bucks are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are forcing 15.2 turnovers per game. The Milwaukee Bucks have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 12/28/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Mavericks look for a strong victory after splitting their last eight games. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 101.8 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 101.4 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Dirk Nowitzki is averaging 17.4 points and 6.9 rebounds while Wesley Matthews is averaging 12.6 points and 1.8 assists. Zaza Pachulia is grabbing 10.4 rebounds and J.J. Barea is dishing 4.2 assists. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are forcing 13.9 turnovers per game. The Dallas Mavericks have won seven of their last 10 home games. Deron Williams and Devin Harris are questionable.

The Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Mavericks are the better team, but the Bucks are a very tough team to play, especially when your backcourt is banged up. I like the value of the points here. 

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Milwaukee Bucks +8

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