Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 3/12/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Heat (37-27) at Toronto Raptors (43-20)
NBA Basketball: Saturday, March 12, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)
The Line: Toronto Raptors -6.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Miami Heat fly to the Air Canada Center to take on the Toronto Raptors on Saturday.
The Heat have been on a good run lately with eight wins in their last 11 games and with Chris Bosh still out indefintely, the Heat have been relying heavily on Dwyane Wade who has been averaging 21.4 points and 5.4 assists in his last five games. Goran Dragic has enjoyed a heavier workload and is averaging 18.0 points and 7.4 assists over his last five games while Joe Johnson is slowly but surely finding his way in the Heat offense with averages of 13.8 points on an efficient 61.7 percent shooting in his last five games. Miami's recent success has earned them the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference standings with a chance to leapfrog Boston for the third spot if they keep this winning momentum going.
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Meanwhile, the Raptors have won eight of their last 10 games and they'll be aiming for a third straight after beating the Hawks by 104-96 on Thursday. DeMar DeRozan had a huge night of 30 points on 11 of 20 shooting, Kyle Lowry added 19 points and seven assists while Pattrick Patterson and Terrence Ross added 12 points each off the bench but this win was all about defense as the Raptors were able to lead at the halftime break despite committing 11 turnovers. With the win, the Raptors improved to 43-20 overall and 25-7 at home.
In ATS trends, the Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero days rest and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, while the Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last six against the NBA Southeast.
Head to head, the Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Toronto.
Despite losing Bosh, the Heat are really starting to play well and will surely make some noise in the playoffs, but I can't back against the Raptors at the Air Canada Center where they've been so good all season.