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Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors - 4/21/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Raptors (57-27) at Indiana Pacers (46-38)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, April 21, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers +1.5 -- Over/Under: 193.5 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Raptors and the Indiana Pacers do battle in Game 3 tonight at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

The Raptors were able to level the series at 1-1 with a hard-fought 98-87 win over the Pacers in Game 2 thanks to a big night from Jonas Valanciunas who dominated with 23 points, 15 rebounds and two blocks after scoring just 12 points before fouling out in Game 1. Kyle Lowry continued his shooting struggles in the series, connecting on just four of 13 attempts but he still managed to finish with 18 points, seven rebounds and nine assists, but the same can't be said for DeMar DeRozan who is now 10-37 from the field for the series after connecting on just five of 18 shot attempts in Game 2.

Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors - 4/21/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Pacers will be disappointed with their loss in Game 2 after they stole home-court advantage in Game 1. Paul George continued his hot streak with another big game of 28 points on eight of 15 shooting while Monta Ellis chipped in with 15 points, but no other Pacers player finished in double figures as the Pacers shot just 41.4 percent from the field and four of 20 from the 3-point line. However, while the Pacers understand they need to improve on their offensive efficiency, it was their defense that let them down on Monday as they were outscored in the paint by 46-30 and outrebounded by 44-33.

In ATS trends, the Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine Conference Quarterfinals games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win, while the Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the Raptors are 41-20 ATS in the last 61 meetings overall and 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Indiana.

The Pacers have done a great job in limiting the production from the Raptors' backcourt duo of Lowry and DeRozan and I expect that to continue tonight for the most part, but someone from the Pacers need someone to step up as they can't expect George to win the game all on his own. In what should be a close contest, I'm tipping the Raptors to come into town and take back home-court advantage with a narrow win as the Pacers will have to pay extra attention to Valanciunas which could open up the game for the rest of the Raptors.

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