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Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets - 4/27/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Charlotte Hornets (50-36) at Miami Heat (50-36)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, April 27, 2016 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -5.5 -- Over/Under: 193 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Charlotte Hornets and the Miami Heat collide in Game 5 tonight at the AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Hornets looked to be in serious trouble after losing the first two games of the series by double digits, but they regrouped and found a way to level the series at 2-2 behind a 89-85 win in Game 4 on Monday. Al Jefferson scored just nine points while Marvin Williams finished scoreless for the second time in this series, so the Hornets leaned heavily on their backcourt who delivered on the big stage. Kemba Walker led the team with a game-high 34 points on 13 of 28 shooting while Jeremy Lin provided the spark off the bench with 21 points as the Hornets dominated in the paint for the second straight game, outscoring the Heat by 44-30 to lead by as many as 18 points before holding on in the fourth quarter.

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets - 4/27/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, the Heat will be disappointed with their effort as they led by as 11 points late in the first quarter before the Hornets took over the game in the second quarter. Joe Johnson led the team with 16 points, Luol Deng added 15 points while Goran Dragic and Dwyane Wade chipped in with 12 points each but the Heat just couldn't contain the Hornets' one-two punch of Walker and Lin who tore their defense to shreds for most of the game. Despite the disappointing loss, the Heat will gain plenty of confidence from the knowledge that they were able to cut an 18-point deficit to just one point despite shooting just 39.5 percent from the field as a team for the game.

The Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games, while the Heat are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.

Head to head, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Miami.

The momentum is clearly with the Hornets now that the series is all locked up at 2-2, but I'm sticking with the Heat who dominated the Hornets in the first two games of the series at home. There is just too much on the line for the Heat to slip up. so I'm expecting them to come out firing and win this one by single digits.

 

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Miami -5.5

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