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Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 5/3/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Heat (52-37) at Toronto Raptors (60-29)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 3, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors -4.5 -- Over/Under: 191 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat collide in Game 1 at the Air Canada Center on Tuesday.

The Heat looked down and out after falling behind by 3-2 in the first series against the Hornets, but they regrouped in time and got the job done in a dominant 106-73 Game 7 win to book them a ticket into the second round. Dwyane Wade led from the front with averages of 19.0 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game for the series, Hassan Whiteside averaged 13.1 points, 11.4 rebounds and 3.4 blocks per game, while Goran Dragic averaged 14.1 points and 4.3 assists per game and had himself a game-high 25 points in Game 7 on Sunday. As a team, the Heat averaged 99.1 points per game while allowing just 90.3 points per game in the first round.

Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat - 5/3/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Raptors will also be entering this series fresh off a Game 7 victory, beating the Pacers by 89-84 in a thriller on Sunday. DeMar DeRozan shot just 31.9 percent from the field for the seriers, but he came good when it really mattered as he led the team with 30 points on Sunday, but the same can't be said for Kyle Lowry who averaged 13.9 points and 7.6 assists per game but shot just 31.6 percent for the series. Jonas Valanciunas found himself in foul trouble in almost every game of the series, but he still managed to put up solid averages of 13.6 points and 11.9 rebounds per game and he'll be required to do the same when he's matched up with the Heat's Whiteside.

In ATS trends, the Heat are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Semfinals games but 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

Head to head, the Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings overall and the favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

These two teams met four times in the regular season with the Raptors winning the last three meetings, but I was very impressed by the way the Heat regrouped in the first round to win in seven games and I just get the feeling that they will steal Game 1 with the Raptors' backcourt duo of Lowry and DeRozan still misfiring from the field.

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Miami +4.5

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