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Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/7/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Raptors (61-30) at Miami Heat (53-38)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, May 7, 2016 at 5:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -5.5 -- Over/Under: 187 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Miami Heat and the Toronto Raptors collide in Game 3 at the AmericanAirlines Arena on Saturday.

The Raptors were in danger of falling into a 2-0 series deficit following their disappointing loss in Game 1, but they bounced back with a hard-fought 96-92 overtime win in Game 2 on Thursday. DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry both continued their struggles from the field as they combined to shoot 16 of 46 from the field for their 38 points, but the Raptors had Jonas Valanciunas who stepped up on the big stage and scored 15 points on seven of nine shooting to go with 12 rebounds and two assists. As a team, the Raptors shot just 41.9 percent from the field and four of 18 from the 3-point line, but they forced turnovers and were rock solid on defense in overtime when it really mattered.

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/7/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, the Heat knew a second straight road win to start the series would have them in prime position to advance, but their offense went cold when they really needed it and it cost them. Goran Dragic led the Heat with a team-high 20 points on eight of 12 shooting, Joe Johnson and Dwyane Wade added 17 points each while Hassan Whiteside had 13 points as the Heat fought hard to force overtime, only to lose their composure in the extra period. Miami committed a total of 21 turnovers and on the defensive end, they just couldn't contain the Raptors' Valanciunas who finished with six offensive rebounds, most of which resulted in easy layups.

In ATS trends, the Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win and 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, while the Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.

The Raptors couldn't afford to fall into a 2-0 series hole so they came out with the right level of urgency and escaped with the narrow win. However, they still haven't gotten anywhere near the level of production they need from their All-Star backcourt duo of Lowry and DeRozan and I can't see that happening tonight. I'm taking Miami to bounce back and continue their strong run at home.

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Miami -5.5

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