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Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/9/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Raptors (62-30) at Miami Heat (53-39)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 9, 2016 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -5.5 -- Over/Under: 189.5 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat collide in Game 4 at the AmericanAirlines Arena on Tuesday. 

The Raptors were able to reclaim home-court advantage with a hard-fought 95-91 win over the Heat in Game 3 on Saturday. Kyle Lowry broke out from his shooting slump to lead the Raptors with 33 points, DeMar DeRozan added 19 points with five assists while Jonas Valanciunas had 16 points with 12 rebounds as the Raptors shot 47.1 percent from the field and eight of 18 from the 3-point line, their best shooting figures for a game in this series. DeRozan continued to struggle as he connected on just six of 17 from the field while the Raptors' reserves combined for just 12 points, but coach Casey will be delighted that his All-Star guard looked to be back to his usual self in Game 3.

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors - 5/9/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Heat had Dwyane Wade who turned back the clock and poured in 38 points on 13 of 25 shooting, but he had very little support outside of Joe Johnson and Goran Dragic who scored 10 and 12 points respectively. Luol Deng had just four points while Hassan Whiteside scored six points before leaving the game with a right MCL sprain and he is listed as questionable for Game 4 which would be a massive loss as he anchors the defense for the Heat. In his absence the Heat may have to insert Amar'e Stoudemire into the starting lineup and resort to playing with a smaller lineup.

In ATS trends, the Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on one days rest, while the Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

It was great to see Lowry finally playing the way we know he can, because the Raptors rely so heavily on his scoring especially with DeRozan yet to find his groove in this series. The breaking news from the Raptors' camp is that Valanciunas has been ruled out for the rest of the series due to a sprained ankle which is a huge loss for the Raptors. I originally had the Raptors with the points start, but I think the Heat just got a massive break and they'll be good enough to make the most of it.

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Miami -5.5

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