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Trail Blazers at Warriors Game 5 - 5/11/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Portland Trail Blazers (49-43) at Golden State Warriors (80-11)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, May 11, 2016 at 10:30 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -12 -- Over/Under: 216.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Portland Trail Blazers and Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday night for game five at the Oracle Arena.

The Portland Trail Blazers need a victory here in order to force a game six on Friday night. The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 103.4 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 105.8 points on 45 percent shooting. Damian Lillard is averaging 26.3 points and 6.2 assists while C.J. McCollum is averaging 19.8 points and 3.2 rebounds. Mason Plumlee is grabbing 12.4 rebounds and Al-Farouq Aminu is dishing 1.8 assists. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The Trail Blazers are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.7 rebounds per game. The Portland Trail Blazers have lost 10 of their last 13 road games.

Trail Blazers at Warriors Game 5 - 5/11/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors hope to advance to the Western Conference Finals for the second straight season. The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.1 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 100.7 points on 40.5 percent shooting. Klay Thompson is averaging 26.6 points and 3.8 rebounds while Stephen Curry is averaging 23.3 points and five assists. Draymond Green is grabbing 10.3 rebounds and Shaun Livingston is dishing five assists. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 40.3 percent from beyond the arc and 72.7 percent from the free throw line. The Warriors are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.8 rebounds per game. The Golden State Warriors have lost just two home games all season long.

The Trail Blazers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference. The Trail Blazers are 6-20 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Golden State and 17-35 ATS in the last 52 meetings overall. 

I can't lay big chalk in a close out game even if Steph is back and draining crazy shot after crazy shot. However, I can take the over once again. The over was my pick in the first two games of this series, and it's hit in three of the four games overall. These teams both score a ton of points and shoot a high percentage from deep. The over is a safer pick than laying 12 points. 

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Over 216.5

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