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Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 5/16/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder (63-30) at Golden State Warriors (81-11)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 16, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -7.5 -- Over/Under: 223.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Golden State Warriors and the Oklahoma City Thunder collide in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals on Monday night.

The Thunder have advanced to the Western Conference Finals on the back of an impressive 4-2 series win over the Spurs. As expected, it was the one-two punch of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant that got the job done with Westbrook averaging 25.2 points, 6.5 rebounds and 10.5 assists for the series and Durant averaging 28.5 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game for the series. Serge Ibaka had a quiet but efficient series with averages of 11.0 points and 4.5 rebounds per game but he shot 50 percent from the field while providing that extra threat from beyond the arc, but the real x-factor for the Thunder was actually Steven Adams who finished the series with averages of 11.0 points and 11.8 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 5/16/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile the Warriors took down the Trailblazers by 4-1 in the Western Conference Semifinals thanks to big performances from the usual suspects. Two-time MVP Stephen Curry missed the first three games of the series but made up for lost time with 40 points in Game 4 followed by another 29 points and 11 assists in Game 5. Klay Thompson stepped up his scoring in the absence of Curry and finished with averages of 31.0 points and 5.6 made 3-pointers for the series while Draymond Green averaged 22.2 points, 11.2 rebounds and 7.2 assists. In injury news, Andrew Bogut is dealing with a hip injury and is likely to miss Game 1, so expect to see Festus Ezeli start at center for the Warriors if Bogut is unavailable.

In ATS trends, the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, while the Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Head to head, the Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall and 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Golden State.

These two teams met three times in the regular season with the Warriors coming away with the win on each occassion but don't think for a second that this series won't be a close one. The Thunder looked seriously impressive against the Spurs in the Western Conference Semifinals and I wouldn't be too surprised if they take down the Warriors in seven games, so I'm backing the Thunder with the points in Game 1.

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Oklahoma City +7.5

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