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Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 6/19/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Cavaliers (71-30) at Golden State Warriors (88-16)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, June 19, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors -5 -- Over/Under: 206 See the Latest Odds


The Golden State Warriors and the Cleveland Cavaliers collide in Game 7 of the NBA Finals at the Oracle Arena on Sunday.

The Cavaliers are now just one win away from making history as the first team to ever come back from a 3-1 series deficit in the NBA Finals. Kyrie Irving scored 23 points, Tristan Thompson added 15 points with 16 rebounds while JR Smith added 14 points, but in a must-win game, the Cavs leaned heavily on LeBron James who delivered with a game-high 41 points for the second straight game to go along with eight rebounds and 11 assists. As a team, the Cavs shot a healthy 51.9 percent from the field while winning the rebounding battle by 45-35 but this win was all about the first quarter which the Cavs dominated by 31-11. It wasn't all smooth sailing as the Cavs led by as many as 24 points before the Warriors cut it down to single digits late in the third quarter, but LeBron would put the team on his back and pour in 17 of the Cavs' 35 points in the fourth quarter to seal the win and force a decider.

Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - 6/19/16 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Warriors, Stephen Curry had a slow start to the game but recovered late to finish with a team-high 30 points before fouling out late in the fourth quarter while Klay Thompson added 25 points of his own, but no other player finished in double figures other than Leandro Barbosa who chipped in with 14 points off the bench. Draymond Green returned from his one-game suspension but scored just eight points with 10 rebounds and six assists, Andre Iguodala scored just five points in a rare start while Harrison Barnes missed all of his eight shot attempts to finish scoreless for the game. As a team, the Warriors connected on 15 of 39 three-point attempts but shot just 40.2 percent from the field and really let themselves down with that poor start in the first quarter which had them running uphill in the second half. 

In ATS trends, the Cavs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight NBA Championship games, while the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Head to head, the Cavs are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State.

The stage is set for history to be made no matter who wins this game. On the one hand, the Warriors are just one win away from becoming back-to-back champions and they have a rare chance to do that at home in a Game 7 which just seems like the perfect ending to what is already a historic season. On the other hand, the Cavs looked dead and buried after dropping Game 4 and falling behind 3-1 in the series, but they've won the last two games by double digits and are now just one win away from their first NBA Championship in franchise history.

You could easily make an argument for either team to take Game 7, so while I'm tempted to take the Warriors at home, I'm sticking with LeBron to deliver on his promise to bring a championship to Cleveland.

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Cleveland +5

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