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Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 9/30/16 WNBA Game Two Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Lynx vs. Mercury

WNBA Basketball: Friday September 30, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Target Arena)

The Line: Lynx -6.5 -- Over/Under: 168.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPNews

The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx square off Friday night in game two of the WNBA semifinals at the Target Arena on ESPNews.

The Phoenix Mercury need a bounce back win here if they want a realistic chance to win this series. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 85.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 84.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Diana Taurasi is averaging 25 points and 3.3 assists while Brittney Griner is averaging 18.7 points and seven rebounds. Penny Taylor is the third double-digit scorer and Candice Dupree is grabbing four rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 84.1 percent from the free throw line. The Mercury are allowing percent 35.3 shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Mercury have lost five of their last eight road games.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 9/30/16 WNBA Game Two Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Lynx can take full control of this series by winning yet another home game. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 77.5 points on 42 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 31 points and eight rebounds while Lindsay Whalen is averaging 19 points and seven assists. Sylvia Fowles is the third double-digit scorer and Renee Montgomery is dishing three assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.2 percent from the free throw line. The Lynx are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won 11 straight home games.

The Mercury are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 Friday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Lynx are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mercury are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.

The Lynx have won the last seven games against the Mercury and has been able to cover the number in most of those games as well. Minnesota has also won 11 straight games at home and seems to playing its best ball of the season overall. The Mercury will have a chance to make this a series in Phoenix, but it's going to be tough for them to compete or win in Minnesota, as we saw in game one.

Give me the Lynx and the reasonable line. 

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Minnesota Lynx -6.5

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