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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky - 10/2/16 WNBA Game Three Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sky vs. Sparks

WNBA Basketball: Sunday October 2, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Allstate Arena)

The Line: Sky +5.5 -- Over/Under: 172.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Los Angeles Sparks and Chicago Sky play game three of the WNBA semifinals Sunday at the Allstate Arena on ESPN.

The Los Angeles Sparks can advance to their fourth WNBA Finals in franchise history with a victory here. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.8 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 76.1 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Candace Parker is averaging 25 points and 5.5 assists while Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 22.5 points and eight rebounds. Jantel Lavender is the third double-digit scorer and Kristi Toliver is dishing 3.5 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have split their last six road games.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky - 10/2/16 WNBA Game Three Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Sky need a victory here in order to force a game four on Tuesday night. The Chicago Sky are averaging 86.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 86.5 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Courtney Vandersloot is averaging 14 points and 7.3 assists while Cappie Pondexter is averaging 13.7 points and 1.3 rebounds. Tamera Young is the third double-digit scorer and Jamierra Faulkner is dishing two assists. The Sky are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.9 percent from the free throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game. The Chicago Sky have won six straight home games.

The Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. The Sparks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Chicago and 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings overall.

I'd love to pick the Sky and have them make this a series, but they're really struggling without their top player in Elena Delle Donne. The Sparks have dominated the Sky from start to finish in both games and have now won the last seven meetings overall. The Sparks have also covered all seven of those games. The Sky should be able to play better at home, but I still don't think that results in a victory. Give me the Sparks and the reasonable line for the sweep. 

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Los Angeles Sparks -5.5

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