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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky - 10/4/16 WNBA Game Four Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sky vs. Sparks

WNBA Basketball: Tuesday October 4, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Allstate Arena)

The Line: Sky +6 -- Over/Under: 168 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Los Angeles Sparks and Chicago Sky play game four of the WNBA semifinals Tuesday at the Allstate Arena on ESPN2.

The Los Angeles Sparks would advance to their fourth WNBA Final in franchise history with a victory here. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.3 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 75.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 22.3 points and 8.3 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 19.7 points and 5.7 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing five rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 30.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have lost four of their last six road games.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky - 10/4/16 WNBA Game Four Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Sky need a victory in order to force a deciding game five Thursday night. The Chicago Sky are averaging 86 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 86 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Courtney Vandersloot is averaging 14.8 points and 6.8 assists while Tamera Young is averaging 11.8 points and five rebounds. Cappie Pondexter is the third double-digit scorer and Jamierra Faulkner is dishing 2.8 assists. The Sky are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 82.8 percent from the free throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game. The Chicago Sky have won seven straight home games.

The Sparks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Sky are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Sparks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall.

The home team has won five of the last seven meetings between these two teams and the Sky have won seven straight at home overall. The Sparks have also had issues on the road this season with six of their nine losses coming outside of Los Angeles. I'm still concerend because Elena Delle Donne isn't playing, but the Sky have shown they play very well at home and can beat the Sparks to force a deciding game five.

I'll take my points here. 

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Chicago Sky +6

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