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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx - 10/9/16 WNBA Finals Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Lynx vs. Sparks

WNBA Basketball: Sunday October 9, 2016 at 3:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Lynx -4.5 -- Over/Under: 161 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Los Angeles Sparks and Minnesota Lynx play game one of the WNBA Finals Sunday afternoon at the Target Center on ABC.

The Los Angeles Sparks are coming off a four-game series win over the Chicago Sky. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.6 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 75.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Candace Parker is averaging 22 points and 4.5 assists while Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 21 points and 8.5 rebounds. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 30 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have split their last eight road games.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx - 10/9/16 WNBA Finals Game One Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Lynx are coming off an impressive sweep over the Phoenix Mercury. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 77.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 25.7 points and six rebounds while Lindsay Whalen is averaging 15.3 points and 4.3 assists. Sylvia Fowles is the third double-digit scorer and Seimone Augustus is dishing 4.7 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Lynx are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won 12 straight home games.

The Sparks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. The Lynx are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.

Some may see value with the Sparks considering the road team has won all three meetings this season. However, the Minnesota Lynx showed in the Phoenix Mercury series that they're simply on another level. Remember, the Mercury were the favorite to win it all before the season began, and the Lynx outscored them 291-248 in three playoff games. It's hard not to pick the Lynx and any low line you get considering how dominant they've been all year and especially in the playoffs. The Sparks will still have a chance to make this a series, but the value and the smart pick is with the better team that not only wins but covers.

Give me the Lynx and the low line.

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Minnesota Lynx -4.5

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