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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx - 10/11/16 WNBA Finals Game Two Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Lynx vs. Sparks

WNBA Basketball: Tuesday October 11, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Lynx -5 -- Over/Under: 159 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Los Angeles Sparks and Minnesota Lynx play game two of the WNBA Finals Tuesday night at the Target Center on ESPN2.

The Los Angeles Sparks can take full control of this series by stealing another road game and going up 2-0. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 75.9 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 20.6 points and 8.6 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 20.4 points and 4.2 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing three rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 29.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have split their last eight road games.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx - 10/11/16 WNBA Finals Game Two Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Lynx need a win to stay in this series and haven’t lost back-to-back games since late June. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86.4 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 77.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 23.8 points and six rebounds while Lindsay Whalen is averaging 16 points and 4.8 assists. Sylvia Fowles is the third double-digit scorer and Seimone Augustus is dishing 3.5 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Lynx are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won 10 of their last 11 home games.

The Sparks are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Lynx are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Sparks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota and the under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.

The Lynx lost game one on a game winner despite not making single three and turning the ball over 15 times. Yes, the Sparks are a great team as well, but the Lynx have to drop a level in order for this series to go the distance. The Lynx haven't lost two straight games since late June and know they can't drop two games at home in order to have a real shot of winning another WNBA title. I have to side with the Lynx at home and the small line. The Lynx will win and cover if they play to their potential and take care of the basketball. 

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Minnesota Lynx -5

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