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Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/14/16 WNBA Finals Game Three Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sparks vs. Lynx

WNBA Basketball: Friday October 14, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Staples Center)

The Line: Sparks -2.5 -- Over/Under: 157 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks play a critical game three of the WNBA Finals Friday night at the STAPLES Center on ESPN2.

The Minnesota Lynx have a chance to take full control of this series by stealing this road game. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86.2 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 77 points on 41.9 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 23.2 points and 7.2 rebounds while Lindsay Whalen is averaging 14.2 points and 4.4 assists. Sylvia Fowles is the third double-digit scorer and Seimone Augustus is dishing 3.2 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free throw line. The Lynx are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won six of their last eight road games.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/14/16 WNBA Finals Game Three Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Sparks also have a chance to move one game within a WNBA title. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 82.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 76 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 19.5 points and 9.2 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 18 points and four assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have won 10 of their last 12 home games.

The Lynx are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Sparks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference and 21-44-1 ATS in their last 66 home games. The Lynx are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

I continue to say that the Minnesota Lynx are the better team here and continue to back them. While the Sparks are a talented team as well and stole a game on the road, they won by two points with the Lynx playing sloppy. When the Lynx needed a win, they blew the Sparks off the court. Not only that, but the road team has won four of the last five meetings between the Lynx and the Sparks. The Sparks have lost three home games all year and two of those games were to the Lynx. The Minnesota Lynx have been here many times, so playing on the road won't bother them much.

I'll gladly take the better team and the free bucket. 

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Minnesota Lynx +2.5

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