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Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/16/16 WNBA Finals Game Four Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sparks vs. Lynx

WNBA Basketball: Sunday October 16, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Staples Center)

The Line: Sparks -2 -- Over/Under: 161.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks play a big game four of the WNBA Finals Sunday night at the STAPLES Center on ESPN.

The Minnesota Lynx need a win her in order to force a deciding game five on Thursday. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 86 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 77.4 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 20.8 points and 7.2 rebounds while Sylvia Fowles is averaging 11.8 points and 1.3 assists. Lindsay Whalen is the third double-digit scorer and Seimone Augustus is dishing 3.2 assists. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 81 percent from the free throw line. The Lynx are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won six of their last nine road games.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/16/16 WNBA Finals Game Four Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Sparks can win their third WNBA championship and first since the 2002 season. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.1 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 76 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 19.7 points and 9.1 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 18.9 points and 3.7 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Sparks are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have won five straight home games.

The Lynx are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Sparks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. The under is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.

I've been burned by the Sparks a couple of times in this series and that game three blowout has finally sold me on Los Angeles. Maybe the Sparks are ready to dethrone the Minnesota Lynx and bring the title back to Los Angeles. I still see value with the Lynx and the free bucket and don't want to bet against Moore in a big game. However, there's little denying that the Sparks have been the better team in three games and now have a chance to make history on their home court. I have to side with the Sparks in this contest. 

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Los Angeles Sparks -2

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