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Written by Mitch Wilson on September 2, 2013

San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick 9/8/13: Mitch's Free NFL Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Two teams thinking Super Bowl meet in week one of the NFL season as the 49ers host the Packers.

The San Francisco 49ers and the Green Bay Packers face off on Sunday in one of the bigger week one NFL matchups.

The San Francisco 49ers have one goal this season, to finish what they started and to not just get to the Super Bowl once again but to win it. This year it is Colin Kaepernick’s team from game one and being the starter in camp should provide him with even more to work with than he had last season. Frank Gore never seems to be mentioned with the top backs in the NFL but his performance says he is definitely worth to be in the discussion. After seemingly adding wide receivers by the bundle the 49ers are with Kyle Williams and Anquan Boldin as the starters and Vernon Davis one of the best pass catching tight ends in the NFL. Defensively there are few concerns for the 49ers as they have been dominant on that side of the football. Justin Smith continues to be a force rushing the passer is Aldon Smith while NoVorro Bowman and Patrick Willis make it very tough to penetrate the middle. Tarell Brown and Donte Whitner are part of one of the more physical secondaries in football. Look for the 49ers to try and make a statement not just in every game this year but on every play.

The Green Bay Packers made the playoffs and won a playoff game last season but with their defense and running game struggling it would have been far fetched to see them go much further than they did. Aaron Rodgers is the best QB in the NFL on any given day and always in the discussion as one of the top five even as his supporting cast changes. Green Bay continues to look for their running game and while it looks to be a committee Eddie Lacy is the best bet to eventually emerge. Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb are now the starting receivers but James Jones has been a long time contributor and Jermichael Finley has been holding onto the ball in the preseason. Defensively the Packers like to roll the dice, giving up yardage and selling out for the turnover. If Clay Mathews can return to form and become one the the top pass rushers Green Bay should be improved as A.J. Hawk and Nick Perry are both solid and in the secondary Tramon Williams and Sam Shields are manning the corners and they have very good speed. The Packers are going to put points on the board but are they ready for the 49ers this early in the season.

San Francisco is 15-6-1 against the spread in their last 22 home games, 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 week 1 games, and 25-12-1 in their last 38 games. Green Bay is 5-1 against the spread in their last six week 1 games, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against NFC teams. Green Bay is 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games in San Francisco.

I expect to see some scoring in this one and my free pick is going to be on the over. My stronger play is on who is going to cover the spread and I will post that NFL Pick in the Premium Area.

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Mitch's Pick: Over 50.5

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