San Francisco 49ers vs. Indianapolis Colts Free Pick 9/22/13
Indianapolis Colts (1-1) at San Francisco 49ers (1-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 22, 2013 at 4:25 pm (Candlestick Park)
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -10.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds
The San Francisco 49ers and the Indianapolis Colts faceoff on Sunday in San Francisco in a NFL battle of two playoff teams from last season who are looking to rebound from week 2 losses.
The San Francisco 49ers are looking for redemption this season after losing in the Super Bowl last year, but they are going to need to improve as they saw last Sunday Night in Seattle. While it is tough to look too deep into one game, it is pretty clear the 49ers don’t want to have to play in Seattle in the playoffs. QB Colin Kaepernick has completed 59.7 percent of his passes with thee touchdowns and three interceptions, while being sacked five times and he has also rushed for 109 yards. Frank Gore is the main man in the Niners running attack, but he is averaging just 2.0 yards per carry with one touchdown. New 49er Anquan Bldin leads the San Francisco receivers with 14 catches and a touchdown, Vernon Davis has nine catches and two touchdowns, and Kyle Williams has seven catches. Defensively, the 49ers defense has two interceptions, six sacks, and a fumble recovery, but they have given up seven touchdowns in two games. NaVorro Bowman has 19 tackles, Patrick Willis has 13 tackles, and Donte Whitner, Aldon Smith, and Justin Smith all have 12 tackles each. The 49ers will need to put last week’s game in the rear view mirror and just win won game at a time.
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The Indianapolis Colts were a playoff team a year ago, winning a lot of close games and many come from behind victories, but they were unable to create the same magic in their week two loss to the Dolphins. The Colts were under pressure all game long against the Dolphins and really it was a few dropped interceptions that kept the game as close as it was. Andrew Luck has completed 65.2 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and an interception but he has been sacked seven times but has been under pressure a lot more often than that. Ahmad Bradshaw is averaging 4.1 yards per carry with a touchdown and Donald Brown is averaging 4.3 yards in limited action. Reggie Wayne leads the Colts receivers with 13 catches, T.Y. Hilton has nine catches, and Coby Fleener and Darius Heyward-Bey each have five catches. The Colts defense has six sacks, two interceptions and two fumble recoveries but they have allowed 272 rushing yards and were unable to stop the Dolphins when they were icing away the game. LaRon Landry has 26 tackles, Jerrell Freeman and Antoine Bethea each have 18 tackles, and Robert Mathis has three sacks. The Colts have quality talent but something looks a little off through the first two games.
San Francisco is 16-6-1 against the spread in their last 23 home games, 20-8-2 against the spread following a loss, and 1-4 against the spread following a loss by 14 or more points. Indianapolis is 8-1 against the spread following a loss, 6-2 against the spread following a game in which they didn’t cover the point spread, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five September games. The underdog has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.
This just looks like a ton of points and while the Niners are the better team and at home, they haven’t exactly lit the world on fire thus far and they look a little thin at receiver to be covering double digits.