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Written by Steven Smith on September 18, 2013

Seattle Seahawks vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Free Pick 9/22/13: Steve's Free NFL Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks hope to keep their momentum going this weekend when Seattle plays host to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a huge test this weekend as the Jags head to Seattle to face the Seahawks.

The Seattle Seahawks are 2-0 on the year and, by many accounts, are playing the best ball in the league right now.  Seattle is coming off an impressive win against the 49ers, defeating San Francisco 29-3.  The game was a lot closer than the score says, as the Seahawks led just 5-0 at the break.  Seattle came out hot in the second half, marching down the field and scoring a TD right out of the gate.  The Niners added a field goal and were in the game in the fourth quarter, but penalties and turnovers killed the Niners chances at any comeback on Sunday night.  Seattle had just 290 yards of total offense on the night, but still won the yardage battle, holding the 49ers to just 207.  The Seahawks passing game really struggled, as Wilson threw for just 142 yards with a touchdown and a pick. The ground game was the saving grace for the Seahawks, as Seattle combined for 172 yards on the ground against the Niners, with Lynch leading the charge with 98 yards and two scores on 28 attempts.  The Seahawks have arguably the best defense in the league and coupled with the best home field advantage in the league, beating Seattle at home is one of the toughest feats in the NFL today.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 0-2 this season and the polar opposite of the Seahawks, as many view Jacksonville as the worst team in the league.  The Jags are ranked 30th in rushing yards per game with 52.5, while ranking 28th in the league with an average of just 160.5 yards per game through the air.  The Jags are coming off a 19-9 loss to the Raiders last weekend.  Jacksonville had just 248 yards of total offense on the day.  The Jags started Henne at QB, and Henne played decent against the Raiders, completing 25/38 for 241 yards and a score.   The running game for the Jags was almost non-existent, however.  Jacksonville managed just 34 yards on the ground combined for the day, averaging just 1.8 yards per carry.  Defensively Jacksonville wasn’t much better as the Raiders had 126 yards through the air, and 226 on the ground with McFadden leading the charge for the Oakland ground attack with 129 yards on the day. 

As an underdog of ten or more points, the Jags are 4-1 against the spread in their last five, and 10-5 against the spread in their last 15 games as an underdog of ten or more points.  In Jacksonville’s last eight games in September, the Jags are just 2-6 against the number.  The Seahawks are 4-2 against the spread when coming off a win against a Division rival, and in their last 17 home games, the Seahawks are an impressive 14-3 against the number.

I’m going to have to take the Jags here.  I know this is a huge spread, and if Jacksonville had Seattle’s complete focus this week, I’m sure the Seahawks could win by four scores if they really wanted to.  What has me concerned about taking the Seahawks is the fact that Seattle travels to Houston next week to take on the Texans, and then has to travel to Indy to face the Colts the following week.  Seattle has prepared for the Jags no doubt, but I’m sure the Texans are in the back of their minds.  Personally, I am not touching this game, but if you need to make a play here, I’d take the points with the Jags.

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Steve's Pick: Jacksonville +19


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