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Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions Free Pick 9/22/13

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Washington Redskins (0-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 22, 2013 at 1:00 pm (FedExField)

The Line: Washington Redskins -2.5 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Washington Redskins and the Detroit Lions face off on Sunday in Washington for a week three NFL battle between two physical teams.

The Washington Redskins were hoping to make a return to the playoffs this season but they are off to an 0-2 start after getting run out of the stadium in the first half and falling short of the comeback against the Eagles and then getting blown out in Green Bay in week 2. Robert Griffin III is back at QB but he clearly hasn’t been the same player who electrified everyone last season. RGIII has completed 62.9 percent of his lasses with five touchdowns and three interceptions while being sacked four times and while his numbers on the surface look fine, he has been tentative. Alfred Morris is averaging 6.1 yards per carry with a touchdown but with the Skins playing from behind often his productivity hasn’t been as effective. Pierre Garcon has been Washington’s best receiver with 15 catches and a touchdown and Leonard Hankerson, Santana Moss, and Jordan Reed each have eight catches. Defensively the Redskins don’t have any interceptions but they have seven sacks and three fumble recoveries. Perry Riley has 19 tackles, Baccari Rambo has 18 tackles, and Ryan Kerrigan has 13 tackles with three sacks. The Redskins defense has faced two tough offenses and they have just been on the field far too much.

Washington Redskins vs. Detroit Lions Free Pick 9/22/13

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions are 1-1 after two weeks of the NFL season and it very much looked like they would be 2-0 until the final minute of their week two game in Arizona. The Lions are still plagued by the same issues and mistakes that cost them narrow losses a season ago and until they can fix those the story will remain the same. QB Matthew Stafford has completed 65.8 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and an interception while being sacked once. Reggie Bush has added life to the running game but he left last week’s game and Is questionable and Joique is his replacement and though Bell has two touchdowns and averages 4.0 yards per carry he is a step down in speed and versatility. Nate Burleson has 13 catches thus far while Calvin Johnson has 10 catches and two touchdowns and Brandon Pettigrew has five catches. Defensively the Lions have four interceptions and four sacks and have held their opponents to three of 21 third down conversions. DeAndre levy has 12 tackles, Chris Houston has 11 tackles, and Stephen Tulloch is among those Lions with eight tackles. The Lions have enough talent to be a playoff team but they are going to need to avoid beating themselves.

Washington is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, 5-1 against the spread after allowing 250 yards or more passing their previous game, and 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 week three games. Detroit is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games, 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four road games. The home team has covered the spread in eight of the last 10 meetings of these two.

The winless Redskins are a mild favorite here and while I am not very confident they can get it done against the best teams, Washington will have and edge against undisciplined teams like the Lions and we will see that hare as they win a tight one. 

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Washington Redskins -2.5

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