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Week 4 NFL Survivor Pool Picks

NFL Week 4 Survivor Pool Picks

NFL Football Week Four

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Another week has passed and another crop of Survivor Pool participants were sent packing as a number of teams suffered big time upsets (Minnesota, San Francisco) while others coasted into this week by locking in the Seahawks or Saints. This week looks especially tough as there are a number of pivotal matchups but nonetheless here are this week’s top plays, pool breakers, and pool makers:

Top Plays:

Week 4 NFL Survivor Pool Picks

Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos vs Philadelphia Eagles

After each team’s impressive week one victories, many had this contest pegged as one of the early games of the season as both teams has explosive offenses and some of the game’s best talents. However, it is the Broncos who have cruised to a 3-0 record while the Eagles have dropped back to back games to the Chargers and Chiefs and are going back to the drawing board before things get out of control. Denver has looked ridiculous on offense and don’t expect the Eagles to slow them down any in this one especially in Colorado where Peyto  Manning has looked invincible since making his debut with the blue and orange last year. Philadelphia might be able to score some points on the Broncos but there is no way that Vick can keep pace with Manning and I expect the Broncos defense to take advantage of a mistake prone Eagles offense early and often. Take Denver here and move on as this is a particularly tough week.

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins

The Saints are quietly putting up another strong season and with a convincing victory at home over the Cardinals last week they appear to be ready to rejoin the conversation as an NFC powerhouse. On the other side however, the Dolphins are the biggest surprise team of the early going as they also sit at 3-0 with impressive wins over the Colts and Falcons in as many weeks. Unfortunately for the Dolphins they have to travel to one of the toughest places in the NFL on Monday Night Football and I think they’re finally given a dose of reality on the biggest stage. The Saints defense has much improved since moving to Rob Ryan’s 3-4 and while the Phins could keep this one close I don’t see it happening as Brees continues to prove his worth behind centre. The Saints have way too many weapons offensively for the Dolphins defense to contend with and with Cameron Wake likely to miss this one it’ll make getting to Brees that much tougher. If you haven’t used them already this is a great spot to take New Orleans.

Pool Breakers

These are games I have circled as being a trap game or one I would stay away from using as your survivor pick as they’re games I can see going either way:

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Yes, the Bengals are coming off an impressive victory over the Green Bay Packers and yes, the Cleveland Browns are already looking towards next season but I don’t like this game at all as it is a divisional show down with the underdog being the home team. The Bengals are by far the better team in this one and they’ll be flying high after their statement win against the Pack but I am very fearful of a letdown spot here for the Bengals. Andy Dalton historically doesn’t play well on the road and the Browns are coming off an impressive win on the road against the Vikings last week and should be fired up for this one. I understand that last week’s win was a matter of context for the Browns but they’re heading up filled with confidence and even though they’re without Trent Richardson now it appears as though Brian Hoyer and Jordan Cameron have some great chemistry. In what I see being a low scoring game I’d recommend passing on the Bengals here and saving them for a more favourable matchup down the line.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

This is the very same template as illustrated above as we get a team coming off a very impressive victory against one of the NFL’s elite and now take to the road to face one of the NFL’s doormats. The Colts went into San Francisco last week and without any shot at coming away victorious absolutely decimated the Niners en route to a 27-7 victory, launching them back into the conversation as an AFC contender. The Jaguars meanwhile are among if not the worst team in the league and are coming off a shellacking on the road in Seattle and have very little to look forward to this season. Except for maybe this game. Sure the Jags are horrible but it is crazy to think they’ll go 0-16 and if they’re going to win a game this season I expect it’ll be at home in a divisional contest. Indy has a terrible run defense which could play right into the hands of Maurice Jones-Drew and if the Jags can find success on the ground it’ll keep Luck and Richardson off the field. I am not positive the Jags can pull off the win outright but I think a lot of people will be on this game and I think they’ll be sweating in the 4th quarter.

Pool Makers

These are games I have circled as either an upset or an off the board pick that if you need to resort to in a pinch and don’t want to exhaust the upper echelon:

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants

This is a classic matchup between an overachieving team and an underachieving team and is one that many people are going to look at from a wagering perspective as a chance to hammer the underdog and win some cash. However, I don’t see that happening in this spot despite my temptations to take the G-Men. The Chiefs are sitting at 3-0 with wins over the Jags, Cowboys, and Eagles and now face off against a winless Giants team who is in shambles at the moment. After losing to Dallas, Denver, and getting blasted in Carolina by a 38-0 mark I could see things get surprisingly worse for them in this spot as the Chiefs have one of the most underrated defenses in the league and are playing at Arrowhead. Add in the fact that Andy Reid is squaring off against yet another NFC East opponent (he is 2-0 thus far) and I think it’s another win for the Chiefs and another loss for the Giants. KC’s secondary is very aggressive and without an established run game in New York I expect another long outing through the air from Eli Manning. Take the Chiefs.

Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks

This should be a great game between two of the league’s juggernauts and a possible preview of this year’s Super Bowl if both teams can live up to expectations. However, it has been the Seahawks who have looked more dominant this year as they have wins over the Panthers, 49ers, and Jaguars while the Texans struggled with San Diego and Tennessee before getting demolished by the Ravens last week. The Texans return home this week looking to get back in the win column and if they’re going to do so they’ll have to find a way to get Arian Foster going on the ground and open up the passing game for Matt Schaub. Seattle meanwhile is coming off two straight wins at home and will look to solidify themselves as the team to beat in the NFC with another convincing victory over a league power. However, I see this one going in the favour of the Texans as they’re playing at home and they haven’t really had a strong outing yet this season. Seattle is a much better team at home than on the road as we saw in the season opener as they barely escaped Carolina with a victory and if they show even a single glitch in Houston they’ll get exploited. I am backing the Texans here and they’re worth a play in a pinch.

Good luck in your pools. See you next week.

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