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Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Free Pick 9/29/13

Chicago Bears (3-0) at Detroit Lions (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 29, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions -2 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears face off on Sunday in Detroit in a NFL week 4 battle in the NFC North.

The Detroit Lions are off to a 2-1 start to the season which puts them a game out of first place in the NFC North in the early going. The Lions opened the season at home with a win but followed it up with two road games where they split with Arizona and Washington but even in the loss at Arizona, the Lions had the Cardinals seemingly beat until the final seconds. QB Matthew Stafford has completed 63.6 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and two interceptions while being sacked just twice. Reggie Bush missed last week’s game but he is probable for this one averaging 3.8 yards per carry and meanwhile his replacement Joique Bell is averaging 3.5 yards per carry with three touchdowns. Nate Burleson was leading the Lions in receptions but he broke his arm in an auto accident and is out but Calvin Johnson has 17 receptions and three touchdowns and Brandon Pettigrew has five catches. Defensively Detroit is allowing 23 points per game and 366 yards which puts them in the middle of the pack statistically but they have five interceptions, six sacks, and a fumble recovery. DeAndre Levy has 21 tackles, Chris Houston has 18 tackles, and Steven Tulloch is among those with 14 tackles. The Lions missed the playoffs last season but a win here would put them in good position a quarter of the way through the season.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Free Pick 9/29/13

Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago bears are off to a 3-0 start and are all alone in first place in the NFC North and it has been a combination of guts and strong play which has gotten it done for them. The Bears have pulled out two late wins and then dominated on the road in Pittsburgh last Sunday. QB Jay Cutler has completed 67.3 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and three interceptions while being sacked just three times. Matt Forte is off to a big start as well averaging 4.1 yards per carry with two touchdowns and catching 18 passes. Brandon Marshall is the Bears leading receiver with 20 catches and two touchdowns, Alshon Jeffery has 13 catches, and Martellus Bennett has 12 catches and three touchdowns. Defensively the Bears are allowing 24.7 points and 383 yards per game with five interceptions, five sacks, and seven fumble recoveries. Major Wright and lance Brigs have 24 tackles each and James Anderson has 19 tackles. The Bears have made plays when they need to and they have converted those into wins.

Detroit is 7-17 against the spread in their last 24 games against NFC teams, 5-13-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 3-8 against the spread against the NFC North. Chicago is 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight games, 104 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 0-4 against the spread against the NFL North. The home team ahs covered the spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

Detroit is a mild favorite here and they should be as I like for them to win and cover as while having Burleson out hurts, it doesn’t hurt nearly as bad as the Bears missing Henry Melton their Pro Bowl defensive tackle who is gone for the season and who is going to be nearly impossible to replace. 

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Detroit Lions -2

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