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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Free Pick 9/29/13

Indianapolis Colts (2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 29, 2013 at 1:00 pm (EverBank Field)

The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Indianapolis Colts look to build on their shocking win in San Francisco last week while the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars search for their first victory of the season.

Indianapolis barely held on for a season opening victory against the lowly Oakland Raiders before falling to the Miami Dolphins in week two setting up a show down on the West coast against the angered San Francisco 49ers as double digit underdogs.  The Colts, who were given virtually no shot to win pulled off the massive upset in convincing fashion upending the Niners by twenty points and jumping back into the conversation as an AFC contender. The mid week trade for Trent Richardson indicated to the rest of the league the Colts are ready to win now and while he was limited in action it looks like it is going to be a budding relationship between the Colts and Richardson. Andrew Luck was exceptional last week and Ahamd Bradshaw played like he was auditioning for a starter’s role as the Colts ran over the once feared San Francisco defense and now have a chance to move to 3-1 heading into Jacksonville. However, the Colts must be cautious of a let down spot here as they’re playing away from home for the second straight week and are heavy favourites against a divisional rival on the road which doesn’t happen to often.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Free Pick 9/29/13

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Jacksonville meanwhile is winless on the season after getting decimated by the Seahawks in Seattle last weekend but if there is any silver lining it is in the fact that the Jags offense began to wake up as the game went along and that they were able to limit the damage done on the ground by Marshawn Lynch. The Jags are still the favourite to land the first overall pick in April’s draft as they’re far and away the worst team in the league at the moment but it is unfathomable in today’s NFL that a team is going to go 0-16 and even though Jacksonville fits the template more than some teams in the past they still have some playmakers on offense that could steal them a game. Despite the Colts looking like a playoff team last week they really struggled against Oakland and Miami and now somehow they’re big favourites on the road in a divisional contest with a lackluster run defense and facing off against one of the game’s best ball carriers? I am not sure if the Jags can pull out the win outright but I don’t see this one being a blow out and I like the Jags to keep this within reason.

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Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5

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