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Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Dallas Cowboys (4-3) at Detroit Lions (4-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions -3 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox

The Dallas Cowboys head North to Detroit on Sunday to square off against the Lions at Ford Field.

The Detroit Lions are currently sitting at 4-3 on the season, and are tied with the Chicago Bears for second place in the NFC Central division.  The Lions have a dynamic offense with Stafford at the controls, ranking eighth in the league with an average of 26.6 points per game.  Detroit is very pass-happy, putting the ball in the air nearly 63 percent of the time this season.  The Lions are averaging a solid 7.1 yards per attempt on the year, ranking them 12th in the league.  Of course we all know about Calvin Johnson, but the addition of Reggie Bush this season has been a huge lift to this offense as he is a threat both in the running, and passing games.  Defensively Detroit does struggle somewhat, especially against the pass as the Lions are allowing 7.3 yards per completion on the season, ranking this secondary 25th in the league.  The Lions secondary will have their hands full on Sunday trying to contain Romo and Bryant, who are lighting it up this season.

Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Cowboys, like the Lions are sitting at 4-3 this season, but Dallas is in first place in a very weak NFC East.  The Cowboys have had a tough road this season, having to face the Chiefs, the Chargers and the Broncos from the AFC West.  Dallas is currently on a two game winning streak, beating divisional rivals the Redskins and the Eagles.  The Cowboys came into the season saying that they were going to put a new emphasis on the run game…and yet Dallas is still throwing the ball 66 percent of the time.  I can’t say I blame them however as the Cowboys do have one of the top wideouts in the league in Dez Bryant, as well as a Hall of Fame tight end in Jason Witten.  The Cowboys offense is putting up 28.6 points per game this season, ranking them third in the NFL in points scored per game.  Defensively the Cowboys are improved in some aspects, especially against the run, but the Cowboy secondary has struggled at times with the new scheme brought in by Montee Kiffin.  The Cowboys are allowing 6.8 yards per attempt through the air, and facing a QB like Stafford, that could be an issue on Sunday.

The total has gone under in four of the last six games for Dallas.  The Lions are just 2-6 overall in their last eight home games, and the total has gone over in six of the last seven home games for the Lions.

I’m going to make a play on the total here, but my strongest play will be in the premium section on Sunday.   Both of these teams have the ability to score quickly from anywhere on the field, which should produce a higher scoring game.  I think we are getting a favorable number here after Dallas’s low scoring game against the Eagles last weekend, so take advantage of that and play the over in Detroit on Sunday.

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Over 51

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