Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13
San Francisco 49ers (5-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-7)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Wembley Stadium)
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +17 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds
The San Francisco 49ers have been on a tear lately, and the Niners hope to continue that momentum on Sunday when the Niners face the Jags in London.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are about as bad of a professional football team I’ve seen in a while. You’re welcome London. The Jags are 0-7 and are ranked towards the bottom of the league in almost every major offensive category. Jacksonville, to be fair, has had a brutal schedule so far, having to face the Broncos, the Colts, the Seahawks, the Chargers and now, the Niners…ouch. Jacksonville is averaging just 10.9 points per game on the season, easily ranking them last in the league. The Jags are also allowing 31.7 per outing, ranking them 32nd in the league as well. Jacksonville has been playing from behind all season long, so the running game hasn’t really had a shot to be established, but even when Jacksonville does run the ball, the Jags are averaging just 2.9 yards per attempt. The passing game is a bit better, with an average of 5.9 yards per attempt, but considering the Niners secondary is ranked in the top ten in the NFL, it will be tough sledding for Henne. Defensively the Jags are facing a Niners team that wants to hit you in the mouth with their physical ground attack, and with the Jags allowing 4.6 yards per carry…the Niners should be able to do just that.
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The San Francisco 49ers started off the season a bit sluggish, but the Niners have rebounded nicely, winning four straight. The Niners are currently 5-2 on the season and trail the Seahawks by just one game in the NFC West. San Francisco’s quarterback Colin Kaepernick has by many accounts taken a step back this season. Watching the Niners this season it’s clear that Harbaugh wanted to limit the hits on Kaepernick, and until last weekend, the Niners basically put away the read option attack. San Francisco reopened that part of the playbook against the Titans last weekend, and Kaepernick took advantage, rushing in from 20 yards out, giving him his first rushing touchdown of the season. Offensively the Niners are ranked 11th in the league, scoring an average of 25.1 points per game, and the Niners stout defense is also living up to its high preseason billing, allowing 19.3 per game. Like I said above, the Niners want to hit you in the mouth with their running game, and if the Jags don’t show San Francisco early on that they can stop it, this will likely be a long game for the Jaguars on Sunday.
The total has gone over in 11 of the last 14 games for the Niners. The Jaguars are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games.
Tough call here, but I’m going to have to take the Jags. The Niners are great defensively, but one weakness I have seen with this team the past few seasons is in the secondary, especially against the deep ball. Jacksonville is definitely lacking offensively, but Henne will be under center and he does have a big arm. That, combined with the talents of Blackmon at wide receiver, could provide the Jags with a few big plays, keeping this interesting at least for awhile.
The Niners win, and win easy, but giving up this many points, in what equates to back to back road games for the Niners looks tough.