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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Miami Dolphins (3-3) at New England Patriots (5-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -6.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins face off on Sunday in a AFC East rivalry match up.

The New England Patriots are coming off of a tough loss to the Jets in overtime last Sunday but they are still in first place in the AFC East. The Patriots offense is averaging 21.7 points and 341.1 yards per game and they are plus five in turnover ratio. Tom Brady has completed 55.4 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and five interceptions and he ahs been sacked 20 times. Stevan Ridley is averaging 4.1 yards per carry with three touchdowns, Le Garrette Blount is averaging 4.1 yards per carry, and Brandon Bolden is averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Brady has been getting it done with relative unknowns at receiver though he is helped out with Rob Gronkowski returning last week but Julian Edelman has 46 catches and Kenbrell Thompkins has 23 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively New England allows 18.1 points and 352.7 yards per game and they are 31st in the NFL against the run allowing 127.1 yards per game and they have eight interceptions, 18 sacks, and seven fumble recoveries. Steve Gregory has 45 tackles, Brandon Spikes has 41 tackles, and Aqib Talib has four interceptions and he is questionable for this one. The Pats defense has lost a ton through injury including Vince Wolfork and Jerod Mayo.

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins started the season red hot but they have cooled off losing three in a row including last Sunday’s loss at home to Buffalo. The Dolphins offense is averaging 22.5 points and 312.7 yards per game and are minus 1 in turnover ratio. Ryan Tannehill has completed 60.7 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions while being sacked 26 times. Lamar Miller is the top option in the Dolphins running game averaging 4.3 yards per carry and Daniel Thomas is averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Brian Hartline is Miami’s leading receiver with 31 receptions, Brandon Gibson has 29 receptions, and Mike Wallace has 27. The Dolphins defense allows 23.3 points and 372.2 yards per game with seven interceptions, 17 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Phillip Wheeler is Miami’s leading tackler with 43 followed by Reshad Jones with 41 and Dannell Ellerbee with 40. Miami is at a pivotal point of their season and it can go either way at this point.

New England is 8-3 against the spread following a loss, 1-4 against the spread against the AFC East, and 6-2 against the spread following a game they didn’t cover the point spread. Miami is 12-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 2-5 against the spread following a loss, and 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games.

While New England is the better team this is a rivalry and that sets up for a close game and in this case taking the touchdown and Miami is the play. 

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Miami Dolphins +6.5

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