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New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Buffalo Bills (3-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -11.5 -- Over/Under: 50 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New Orleans Saints and the Buffalo Bills face off on Sunday in the Big Easy in a NFC vs. AFC NFL matchup.

The New Orleans Saints have a clear lead in the NFC South and after missing the playoffs last season they look to have the inside track to be part of this year’s post season. The Saints offense has been electric averaging 26.8 points and 397.7 yards and they have a plus five turnover ratio. Drew Brees continues his Hall of Fame career completing 66.2 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions while being sacked 14 times. Pierre Thomas is averaging 3.2 yards per carry and Darren Sproles averages 3.9 yards per carry and he has 32 catches. Jimmy Graham has 37 catches and six touchdowns and Marques Colston has 24 catches. Defensively the Saints are greatly improved allowing 17.2 points and 338 yards per game with eight interceptions, 20 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Curtis Lofton has 47 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 5.0 sacks, and Kenny Vaccaro has 33 tackles.

New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills Pick-Odds-Prediction 10/27/13

Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills are in last place in the AFC but even so they are far from out of contention for the divisional title or a playoff spot. The Bills offense is averaging 22.7 points and 333.3 yards per game and they are a plus five in turnover ratio. Thad Lewis is the Bills third QB they have used this season and he has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and an interception and he has been sacked nine times. C.J. Spiller is averaging 4.0 yards per carry and he has 14 receptions and Fred Jackson is averaging 4.4 yards per carry with five touchdowns and he has 25 catches. Defensively the Bills are allowing 25.4 points and 380.4 yards per game with 12 interceptions, 23 sacks, and four fumble recoveries. Kiko Alonso has 70 tackles and four interceptions, Da’Norris Searcy has 51 tackles, and Mario Williams has 10 sacks. The Bills have been tough to figure out winning all three of their games as underdogs.

New Orleans is 19-7 against the spread in their last 26 home games, 5-0 against the spread following a bye week, and 5-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Buffalo is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, 6-19-1 against the spread following a win, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games. The favorite has covered the point spread in the last four meetings of these two.

The total in this one is set at 50.5 and I just don’t have it coming near that number so my free pick is going to be on the under. My stronger play is on who will cover the spread and I will post that pick against the spread in the Premium Area. 

Follow Mitch on Twitter: @SportsChatPlace

Under 50.5

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