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Written by Mitch Wilson on October 29, 2013

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/3/13: Mitch's Free NFL Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Chiefs look to remain unbeaten as they visit the Bills.

The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs face off on Sunday in Orchard Park in NFL week 9 football action.

The Buffalo Bills had hopes this season of putting things together but it has become another learning experience as they are in last place in the AFC East. The Bills offense is averaging 22 points and 329 yards per game and they have a plus two turnover ratio. With E.J. Manuel out until mid November Thad Lewis as been at the QB spot completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 652 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions and he has been sacked 13 times. C.J. Spiller was inactive last week and he is questionable and if he isn’t ready to go it will be Fred Jackson once again who has proved to be more than capable. Steve Johnson has 33 receptions and three touchdowns, Scott Chandler has 29 catches, and Robert Woods has 22 catches. Defensively the Bills are allowing 26.6 points and 381.1 yards per game with 12 interceptions, 27 sacks, and four fumble recoveries. Kiko Alonso has 81 tackles and four interceptions, Da’Norris Searcy has 53 tackles, and Mario Williams has 11 sacks. The Bills have the talent; it is still just a matter of putting it all together.

The Kansas City Chiefs are in the middle of the biggest one year turnaround in the history of the NFL as they have gone from drafting first in the NFL Draft to being the last undefeated team in the NFL this season. The KC offense is averaging 24 points and 330.8 yards per game with a plus 12 turnover ratio. QB Alex Smith is playing with purpose completing 59.1 percent of his passes for 1,795 yards with nine touchdowns and four interceptions while being sacked 24 times and he has rushed for 258 yards. Jamaal Charles has rushed fir 635 yards and six touchdowns and he has caught 41 passes with two touchdowns. Dwayne Bowe has 26 catches, Donnie Avery has 24 receptions, and Dexter McCluster has 23 receptions. Defensively the Chiefs are allowing an NFL best 12.2 points per game and a fifth best 309 yards per game and they have 10 interceptions, 36 sacks, and six fumble recoveries. Derrick Johnson has 61 tackles and 3.5 sacks, Justin Houston has 11 sacks, and Tamba Hali has nine sacks. The Chiefs remaining schedule is road game heavy so they will be tested.

Buffalo is 5-0 against the spread in their last five home games, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven SEC games, and 6-0 against the spread following a loss. Kansas City is 4-11 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 1-4 against the spread following a game where they didn’t cover the spread, and 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing their previous game. The road tram has covered the point spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.

The Chiefs haven’t been lucky, they have been good and especially good at winning the turnover battle but in the NFL it is tough to win them all and look for the Chiefs to take one in loss column here. 

Follow Mitch on Twitter: @SportsChatPlace

 

Mitch's Pick: Buffalo Bills +3.5


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