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Written by Steven Smith on October 30, 2013

Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/3/13: Steve's Free NFL Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Seahawks head home on Sunday to play host to the Tampa Bay Bucs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are still looking for their first win of the season, and it will be tough to earn that on Sunday as the Bucs face the Seahawks in Seattle.

The Seattle Seahawks are sitting at 7-1 this season, but Seattle needed a goal line stand against the Rams on Monday night to keep that record.  Seattle struggled against the Rams, as St. Louis was able to control the line of scrimmage against the Seahawks, and when you are on the road, and lose the battle up front, getting a win is tough.  The Seahawks are one of the better rushing teams in the league, averaging 140.6 yards per game, but on Monday against the Rams, the Seahawks rushed for just 44 yards on only 15 attempts.  Lynch really struggled for Seattle on the night, picking up just 23 yards on eight attempts.  I’m not sure what the game plan was for Seattle heading into this one, or why they chose not to run the ball more against the Rams, who have struggled against the run this season.  Russell Wilson was solid, but not dynamic against the Rams, completing 10/18 for 139 yards and two scores.  Seattle will be fine, but as we have seen in the past this is a completely different team away from home, and with all the injuries on their offensive line, Seattle is more than vulnerable on the road.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 0-7 on the season, and Schiano has to be feeling the heat right now.  The Bucs are ranked towards the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, ranking 21st in the league on the ground, and 26th in the league through the air.  Mike Glennon has come in for departed quarterback Josh Freeman, and while Glennon is making some rookie mistakes, overall he has played well for the Bucs.  One thing Glennon is doing that seems to be very smart, is he is feeding the ball to their playmaker on the offense, Vincent Jackson.  Jackson has been routinely targeted by Glennon after he got the nod under center, but this weekend Glennon may want to look in other directions as well as Seattle has one of the best secondaries in the league, and surely they will be keying on Jackson.  Defensively the Bucs have been playing decent, but as we saw against the Panthers last week, this team can make mistakes in their assignments, and when you play an offense like the Seahawks, you have to be sound fundamentally.

Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last five games, and the Bucs are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  The total has gone under in seven of the last eight games between the Bucs and Seattle.  The Seahawks are 5-0 overall in their last five home games as the Seahawks have one of the best home field advantages in the league.

I’m going to take the Bucs in this spot.  There is no question that Seattle is the better team, especially on their home field, but I think Tampa matches up well enough with the Seahawks.  Seattle is coming off a short week, while the Bucs have had extra days to prepare, having no played since last Thursday.  Also, this will be the first game without Sydney Rice at receiver for Seattle.  The Bucs should be able to hold their own up front with the Seahawks as well.  Seattle wins, and likely wins easily, but getting this many points with a Tampa team that has played better than their record shows us, is hard to pass up.

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Steve's Pick: Tampa Bay +16.5


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