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Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/24/13

Carolina Panthers (7-3) at Miami Dolphins (5-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Sun Life Stadium)

The Line: Miami Dolphins +4 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: Fox

The Carolina Panthers are on a roll right now, and Carolina will head to Miami on Sunday in hopes of avoiding the always dreaded trap game.

The Miami Dolphins started off the season hot, but since the Dolphins have come back down a bit.  Miami has dropped three out of their last five games, including a loss last week to the San Diego Chargers, in Miami 20-16.  The Dolphins are still in the playoff hunt in the AFC, but it’s tight, so at this point every game for Miami matters.  The Dolphins have a solid defense, and one of the better young quarterbacks in the game in Ryan Tannehill, but Miami is struggling putting it all together right now.  One area the Dolphins really do need to improve upon is their ground game.  Miami is currently averaging just 88.7 yards per game, and that is putting way too much pressure on their signal caller and the passing attack.  That being the case, the Panthers are excellent against the run, so this week might be tough sledding for them.

Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/24/13

Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

The Carolina Panthers head to Miami on Sunday, and right now the Panthers have to be feeling invincible.  Carolina has won six in a row heading into Sunday’s matchup with the Dolphins, including wins over the Niners and the Patriots, each in the past two weeks.  Cam Newton is really starting to come into his own in this league.  What’s impressive about that is that Newton is not just running the spread attack he was when he first got to Carolina, but the Panthers are running a much more conventional NFL offense right now, and Newton is shining in it.  One thing helping Newton and the passing game out, is their strong running attack.  The Panthers are ranked 10th in the league currently, averaging 125.3 yards per game on the ground.  That, combined with their stifling defense, and the Panthers are looking to be a real tough out late in the season.

The Carolina Panthers are a very solid 7-3 against the spread on the year, and when playing as a favorite, the Panthers are doing well, going 4-2 ATS on the season.  On the road, the Panthers are also solid, going 3-2 ATS.

The Miami Dolphins are 5-5 against the spread on the year, and when playing as an underdog, the Dolphins are 4-2 ATS.  Miami is also in the black when playing at home, going 3-2 against the spread this season.

My play here is going to be on the under.  I am tempted to take the Dolphins as this looks to be a bad spot for the Panthers, but I just can’t trust this Miami team.

Miami will have trouble putting points on the board against this defense, and the Dolphins are solid defensively in their own right which should contain this Panthers offense, especially considering they are on a short week.

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Under 40.5

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