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New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/8/13

Cleveland Browns (4-8) at New England Patriots (9-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -11.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Cleveland Browns have their work cut out for them on Sunday when the Browns head to New England to face the Pats.

The New England Patriots are playing well this season, sitting at 9-3, while going a perfect 6-0 at home.  The Pats are also on a bit of a hot streak, winning two in a row, and four out of their last five.  New England has been tested the past two weeks however, as the Patriots needed come from behind wins at home against the Broncos two weeks ago, and last weekend on the road at the Texans.  There is some concern here among Pats fans as to why the Patriots are falling so far behind in the first half, and then needing outstanding play in the second half to secure the win.  This is definitely not a recipe for long term success, especially come playoff time.  There can be many different causes as to the lack of first half success for the Pats, and I’m not going to waste your time trying to figure it all out.  Rather, I'm going to focus on the fact that the Patriots had the ability, and the want, to allow them to not get too discouraged and fight back into the game.  The Patriots are still one of the elite teams in the NFL, and the past two weeks haven’t weakened that sentiment for me, but strengthened it.

New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns Pick-Odds-Prediction 12/8/13

Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Browns are 4-8 this season and just 1-4 on the year on the road.  Where do you start with this team?  The Browns let Richardson go early in the season for an added draft pick, and then Cleveland shopped their start wideout Gordon, and their star tight end Cameron (reportedly anyway).  The talk was that the talent on this team didn’t fit the current regime’s designs, and they were willing to blow it all up to start again.  That may be the case to some extent, but I have to think they will be holding onto Cameron and Gordon.  Especially Gordon.  Gordon went off against the Jags this past weekend, hauling in 261 yards receiving and scoring twice.  Oh yeah, and that was with Brandon Weeden throwing him the ball.  This team has a lot of work to do, but with their defense, and the talent they have in some key skill positions offensively (QB excluded of course) this Browns team could be poised to make some noise in the near future, assuming they use their draft picks wisely.

The Cleveland Browns are 5-7 against the spread this season, and when the Browns are listed as the underdog, Cleveland is 4-4 ATS.

The New England Patriots are 6-6 against the spread on the year, and when the Pats are at home, New England is 5-1 against the spread.

There isn’t a ton I like about this game and personally I am likely staying off.  I’ll go ahead and lay the points with the Pats, but I am concerned a bit about a letdown after two huge comebacks in back to back weeks.

The Browns defense has been exposed a bit as of late and even though Gordon is a stud who could start for any team in the league, I just don’t see him alone being a huge factor here.  Weeden is coming off a concussion, but even with him in the game the quarterback situation for the Browns is very shaky.

Look for the Pats to pour it on here as New England wants to try and win this thing soundly with the playoffs on the horizon and let their fans breathe easier after these past two weeks, as we're all well aware how concerned with the fans Belichick is, right? 

 

New England -11.5

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