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Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Pick, Odds, Prediction 12/15/13

Houston Texans (2-11) at Indianapolis Colts (8-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 15, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -6.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans face off on Sunday in Indianapolis in an AFC South NFL matchup.

The Indianapolis Colts have wrapped up the AFC South and are headed back to the playoffs, but even so they still have some work to do as far as playoff seeding. The Colts currently have the worst record among division leaders in the AFC so they still have plenty to play for with home games and byes still out there. Andrew Luck has completed 58.6 percent of his passes for 3,119 yards and 19 touchdowns with eight interceptions. Trent Richardon has rushed for 326 yards, but that is just a 2.9 yards per carry average, while Donald Brown rushes for 5.2 yards per carry. T.Y. Hilton has 58 catches and five touchdowns and Coby Fleener has 49 receptions as the Colts continue to try and fill in for the loss of Reggie Wayne. Jerrell Freeman leads the Colts defense with 106 tackles, Antoine Bethea has 98 tackles, and Robert Mathis has 15.5 sacks. The Colts offense is averaging 24.1 points and 337.8 yard while defensively they are allowing 24.3 points and 372.1 yards. The Colts have lost three of their last five games and they were all one-sided losses.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Pick, Odds, Prediction 12/15/13

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans have the worst record in the NFL this year and have lost 11 games in a row. Head Coach Gary Kubiak was fired and Wade Phillips takes over though it may just be on an interim basis. Case Keenum has completed 62.4 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Ben Tate is the Texans leading rusher with 699 yards and four touchdowns. Andre Johnson has 95 receptions and five touchdowns and Garret Graham has 49 catches and five touchdowns. J.J. Watt has 64 tackles and 9.5 sacks, Darryl Sharpton has 63 tacklees, and Shiloh Keo has 50 tackles. The Texans offense is averaging 19.2 points and 368.4 yards per game, while defensively they are allowing 26.9 points and 302.2 yards. The Texans have simply fallen way short of expectations.

Indianapolis is 12-1 against the spread following a loss, 5-0 against the spread against the AFC South, and 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 home games. Houston is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road games, 2-8 against the spread against the AFC, and 0-5 against the spread against the AFC South. The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven meetings of these two.

The Colts are favored by nearly a touchdown here and while I have them winning, I don’t see them getting past this number so the play is Houston. 

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Houston Texans +6.5

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